Cain Vs Ngannou Betting Odds
UFC 260 features two title fights including a UFC heavyweight championship rematch bout between current heavyweight champion Stipe Miocic and no. 1 contender Francis Ngannou. The two previously met at UFC 220, on January 20th, 2018, where Miocic won on points.
- Cain Vs Ngannou Betting Odds
- Cain Vs Ngannou Betting Odds Prediction
- Cain Vs Ngannou Betting Odds Genesis Open
Francis Ngannou (+140) vs Cain Velasquez (-165) One of the most intriguing aspects of this fight is the re-emergence of Cain Velasquez as a headliner. He was one of the best in the UFC at the height of his career, but injuries have limited him to just 2 fights since 2013. Ngannou vs Velasquez Betting Trends & Stats - Velasquez leads Ngannou in both. Online sportsbook Bovada has released Miocic vs Ngannou odds for their rematch and although Stipe won the first meeting, he is a +120 underdog in the second fight with Francis listed as the -150 favorite. This means you would have to wager $150 on Ngannou to win to profit $100, while a $100 bet on a Miocic win would profit you $120.
A featherweight championship bout between current champion Alexander Volkanovski and Brian Ortega, a former title challenger, is currently scheduled for the co-main event slot of UFC 260.
UFC 260 is stacked with other great bouts such as Tyron Woodley vs. Vicente Luque, and Sean O’Malley vs. Thomas Almeida.
UFC 260 Betting Resources
- Date: Saturday, March 27, 2021
- TV-Time: ESPN/ESPN+, ESPN PPV 10:00 p.m. ET
- Venue: UFC Apex
- Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
UFC 260 goes down on Saturday, March 27, 2021.
The event will take place at the UFC Apex facility in Las Vegas, Nevada, United States.
In this segment, we break down the betting lines for some of the biggest fights of UFC 260, while looking to find some betting value.
UFC 260 Miocic vs. Ngannou 2 Odds Movement
The opening betting line saw Francis Ngannou as the clear favorite, at odds -175 (Bet $100 to win $175; 64% implied win probability).| Odds: Stipe Miocic vs. Francis Ngannou | |||||||||||||||
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However, sharp bettors and early birds have been leaning towards the champion, which is why we’re now getting closer odds between the two.
At the current betting line of +125, (Bet $100 to win $125), Miocic has an implied win probability of 45%. That’s a 5% shift from the probability his initial odds suggested, at +150.
In their first bout at UFC 220 in 2018, Stipe Miocic (R) dominated Francis Ngannou with a unanimous decision (50-44, 50-44, 50-44). (AP)
UFC 260 Miocic vs. Ngannou 2 Odds Analysis
For once, I’m actually completely disagreeing with the betting lines. And not just a little bit, I really think the odds should be swapped, so we’d get Francis as the dog and Miocic as the favorite.
I can’t, for the life of me, figure out why Miocic is the underdog against a man he’s already beaten, badly. What’s even crazier is that many bookies actually brought out Miocic as a bigger underdog than he was in the first fight.
Personally, I think it just goes to show that people believe Francis is destined to become the heavyweight champion. However, I’m not sure I see legitimacy in that prediction. What we’ve seen throughout history is that punching power only gets you so far in the heavyweight division - you need technique to be the best.
However, my personal opinion of Ngannou’s skill-set aside, the value is simply on the champion as an underdog. In 2020, not a single champion lost his/her belt. To add more value on Miocic, in rematches, the winner of the first fight wins the second 8/10 times.
Personally, I’d still be on Stipe all the way up to the -140 range, as he’s just proven himself to be so much more technically sound in the cage. With back-to-back victories over one the greatest heavyweights of all time, Daniel Cormier, I believe Ngannou could very well turn out to be a step down in competition for the champion.
Ngannou has never in his career gone the distance and won, which is one of the reasons I’m all over Miocic as an underdog.
Final verdict: The betting value is on the champion in the main event of UFC 260. I strongly suggest you get involved with Miocic as soon as possible if you favor him in his bout, as I think sharp bettors will soon begin unloading on him. The odds movement has already shown an interest in Miocic over Ngannou.
That said, if you’re on Ngannou here, I think the first-round KO prop is the only way to go.
UFC 260 Miocic vs. Ngannou 2 Odds Comparison
| Stipe Miocic vs. Francis Ngannou - Money Line Odds (3/27/21) | |||||||||||
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UFC 260 Miocic vs. Ngannou 2 Breakdown
While the first fight definitely made Miocic out to be the more well-rounded fighter of the two, Ngannou’s power is still uncommon, even in a division where finishes are most common.
One punch is really all it takes for Francis to get the win, which is also reflected in the fact that it took him only 30 punches combined to win his last 4 fights.
The wrestling of Miocic ended up being too much for Ngannou the first time around, so if he has managed to improve on that deficiency in his game then he might fare better against the champion.
The thing is, we haven’t really gotten a chance to witness how much his wrestling has improved, since his last 4 fights have lasted a combined 2 minutes and 52 seconds.
What we do know is that Ngannou’s volume significantly decreases in the later rounds, and overall his volume is nowhere near that of the champion. On average, Stipe lands over twice as many punches every minute compared to Francis, while being 52% more accurate.
Unless Francis develops a nifty takedown defense, Stipe might be able to have his way with him on the ground once again.
In the first fight, I actually saw Stipe having quite a lot of success on the feet, catching Francis on more than one occasion with some slick counter shots.
If Ngannou is not careful, he could get knocked out too.
UFC 260 Miocic vs. Ngannou 2 Picks & Best Bets
Cain Vs Ngannou Betting Odds
While Ngannou’s power is unrivalled in the heavyweight division, I believe Miocic gets it done again when they face each other on March 27th.
Ngannou's game is very one-dimensional, and he only really has one path to victory: the knockout.
One-trick ponies are only good at a certain level, but when pitted against a well-rounded mixed martial artist, they are simply outmatched - and that’s what happens the first time Miocic and Francis fought.
Ngannou does not kick, engage in the clinch, nor does he shoot for takedowns. His gamplan is simple: stand and bang and get the job done early. However, that game plan does not take into account what happens if the fight drags on.
I have to go with the victor from the first fight, Stipe Miocic, who probably gets the win in this rematch at UFC 260.
I predict Stipe Miocic to retain his title against Ngannou at UFC 260.
UFC 260 Miocic vs. Ngannou Betting Insights
Rematch: In 2020 rematches, the winner of the first won the second 8/10 times.
Champion: Last year, UFC champions went undefeated with a combined record of 13-0-1. Miocic, being the defending champion here, will have some statistical significance linked to him in that regard.
Deep Waters: Francis Ngannou has never won a fight that has gone past round 2. He is 0-3 in decision fights.
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou II Picks
When: Saturday, March 27, 2021
Where: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada
TV: PPV
UFC 260 on March 27 will be a big PPV event, featuring two of the best big men in the business in a long-awaited rematch. In January 2018, Stipe Miocic defended his title against Ngannou in a 5-round unanimous decision. But with Ngannou having gotten back to the business of annihilating top heavyweight contenders, he is back in a position to give it another go. In the interim, Miocic won the last two fights in his Daniel Cormier trilogy, regaining his title and now looking to repeat his previous win. Who can come out on the winning side this time?
Fight Analysis:
Stipe Miocic, 20-3 (15 KOs), (+130) vs. Francis Ngannou, 15-3 (11 KOs, 4 Submissions), (-150)
Stipe Miocic defends his UFC Heavyweight Title against top contender Francis Ngannou in the UFC 260 main event on March 27 in Las Vegas. Since beating Ngannou a little over three years ago, Miocic lost his belt to Cormier, won it back, and then defended it against “DC” in the rubber match. Ngannou looked affected by his loss to Miocic with a bizarre showing against Derrick Lewis in his next fight. Since then, however, he has liquidated a quartet of contenders in Curtis Blaydes, Cain Velasquez, Junior dos Santos, and Jairzinho Rozenstruik. That he beat those four men isn’t what stands out, but the fact that Ngannou took a total of 2 minutes and 43 seconds to render those four senseless deserves some attention.
Cain Vs Ngannou Betting Odds Prediction
It’s never that difficult to make a case for Ngannou. Built like a gladiator, he lashes out with strikes that cannot be withstood. He is an absolute killer in the octagon, and it’s hard to remember another fighter rendering this many contenders jelly on the canvas in such short order. It’s really a sight to behold, and you sometimes get the feeling that if he even partially lands with any of those blockbuster shots, it can be curtains.
In their first fight, Miocic was able to weather the early onslaught. He incorporated some wrestling, made it a little messy, and threw sharp counters to keep Ngannou honest. But we did see what can happen when a fighter scores a bunch of quick knockouts. Sure, it looks fearsome, and it gets a lot of attention. In a five-rounder, however, other assets need to be called upon to get to the winner’s circle. We’re talking about mettle, stamina, durability, and a vision for winning a fight when Plan A isn’t working.
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Truth be told, the way Ngannou lost that fight speaks well of him in some respects. While he ran out of answers, he hung tough for the full 25 minutes, taking some hellacious shots in the process. He didn’t melt. He didn’t go away. He took his medicine like a man, and it actually boosts his prospects in this fight. After all, against a younger Miocic who was in his prime and having run out of a way to realistically win the fight, Ngannou wouldn’t be stopped.
In the interim, Ngannou, 34, four years younger than Miocic, has gained some experience and continued to hone his craft. For the purposes of winning a five-rounder, however, it’s unclear what he has done to further his cause. We again see him ending fights with shocking quickness, flaunting his heavy strikes, but still leaving questions of what happens when his power doesn’t win the day.
More Picks: Get Loot’s betting opinion on two other UFC 260 fights >>>
Cain Vs Ngannou Betting Odds Genesis Open
One thing in Ngannou’s favor is the advanced state of Miocic. There’s a chance that he’s a little more-brittle than he was before when they first fought. While Ngannou has taken almost no punishment since, Miocic has had three fights with Cormier, which will add a lot of miles on one’s odometer. He was knocked out in the first fight, and while he deserves all kinds of kudos for twice avenging that loss, perhaps his chin is more exploitable than it was three years ago.
The battle lines are pretty clear. The longer this fight goes, the better it is for Miocic. But he barely was able to avoid the heavy fists of Ngannou the first time, and it’s not going to be a cinch this time. Sure, Miocic’s combination of wrestling and boxing expertise, along with his toughness, resolve, chin, and determination, were all key parts of the win in the first fight. And those things are still in play. But it’s an older Miocic now against a fighter who might employ varied tactics to avoid the early flameout.
Also boosting Ngannou’s stock is that he can take it. He has shown that before, sponging punishment in a rather one-way fight and going the distance with Stipe. With the knowledge that he can endure Miocic’s punishment even when things aren’t going his way, maybe he can put himself in a position to be more-viable if this gets out of the first round. Ngannou knows what he’s up against this time. Against Miocic, you can’t go out there and expect to blow him away. It could happen, but at the championship level, a solid Plan B is really going to give your championship hopes a big jolt.
I’m not so sure Miocic can avoid that initial onslaught this time, however. Granted, this is a fight where you can make a great case for Ngannou, only to see his first-round attack fall flat before he slows to a crawl in another landslide win for Miocic. That happened before, and therefore, a position on it happening again is hardly out-of-order. I suspect, however, that time has been kinder to Ngannou overall. In terms of each fighter’s overall career trajectory, Ngannou might be at his peak, while Miocic’s best fighting is probably in the rearview. I’m picking Francis Ngannou to win.
My Pick to Win: I’m betting on Francis Ngannou to win at -150 betting odds. Despite the result of their first fight, Ngannou still showed he can hang in there with Miocic. With Miocic three years older and with time running short on his hourglass, I suspect the time is right this time for Ngannou. Did you know that you can bet on UFC fights while they’re in progress? It’s a super exciting way to bet! Find this awesome offer at Bovada Sportsbook! Your credit card will work for deposits there and they’ll give you a 50% real cash bonus too!
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